Throughout this campaign, it has been largely all or nothing for Peterborough, and we feel that will be the case on Saturday. While Rovers have drawn three of their last four outings, Posh could edge this contest by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
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