SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Morecambe |
46.76% ( -1.85) | 26% ( 0.27) | 27.24% ( 1.58) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.91% ( 0.01) | 53.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.33% ( 0.01) | 74.67% ( -0.01) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( -0.83) | 22.68% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.66% ( -1.24) | 56.34% ( 1.24) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% ( 1.31) | 34.4% ( -1.31) |
