Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
