Cheltenham can afford to take their foot off the gas slightly with survival assured, but Duff will not accept such complacency at home, where they have prevailed more often than not in recent weeks.
Gillingham have looked a far more composed outfit since the turn of the year, but it is still difficult to know what to expect from Harris's side on a weekly basis, and the home advantage just tips this one in Cheltenham's favour.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
