Given the major importance of the meeting in the battle for survival, we expect this to be a cagey affair and just give the edge to the hosts. McSheffrey's side have looked far more competent recently, and, if they are able to lift the mood in the camp after a heavy defeat, they could have enough to secure all three points with home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Gillingham
28.18%	28.19%	43.62%

Both teams to score 45.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.4%

60.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.31%

80.69%

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.29%

37.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.51%

74.48%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39%

27.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86%

63.13%

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 28.18%

Gillingham 43.62%

Draw 28.18%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 6.37% 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.18%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.18%	0-1 @ 13.39% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-3 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.19% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.77% Total : 43.62%