Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 8.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 3-0 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
