Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
-0.22) 
0.07) 
