With both sides generally more effective defensively than offensively, we can envisage a stalemate playing out at Montgomery Waters Meadow on Thursday.
Both managers tend to prefer a 3-4-1-2 formation, too, increasing the chances of the two sets of players cancelling each other out on the day.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
