Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Peterborough United in this match.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
21.52% ( -0.11) | 21.74% ( -0.04) | 56.74% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.86% ( 0.03) | 40.14% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.49% ( 0.04) | 62.51% ( -0.03) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.77% ( -0.08) | 32.22% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.28% ( -0.09) | 68.72% ( 0.1) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86% ( 0.06) | 13.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.48% ( 0.12) | 41.52% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 21.52% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.74% |
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