SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 27.51% | 24.47% | 48.01% |
| Both teams to score 55.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% | 46.62% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% | 68.89% ( -0) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% | 30.78% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.95% | 67.04% ( -0) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( -0) | 19.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.64% ( -0) | 51.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 7.07% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.51% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-2 @ 8.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.15% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.79% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.04% Total : 48.01% |
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