Unbeaten at their home pitch in League One this season, Wrexham are unlikely to be seriously fazed by the arrival of the league leaders on Thursday night.
Without key midfielders and attackers, Birmingham might need to hold on at times in North Wales, although they should be good enough for a share of the points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.31) 
0.04) 
