SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
51.22% ( 0.02) | 23.77% ( -0) | 25.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.5% ( -0.01) | 45.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.17% ( -0.01) | 67.82% ( 0.01) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( 0.01) | 17.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.49% ( 0.01) | 48.5% ( -0.01) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.02) | 32.15% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.37% ( -0.02) | 68.63% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.63% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.01% |
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