Derby will be keen to bounce back from Saturday's disappointing result, and having won eight of their last 10 home league games, we think that they will claim all three points against a Cheltenham side that are bereft of confidence.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 74.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 8.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
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