Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
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