Sheffield Wednesday were not quite at their best in last week's triumph over the Cod Army, and with a round-of-16 place on the line on this occasion, we see their superior squad being slightly more dominant and again prevailing on home turf.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
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