SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
39.58% ( 0.03) | 26.74% ( 0.02) | 33.68% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.44% ( -0.09) | 53.56% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% ( -0.08) | 75.07% ( 0.08) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( -0.03) | 26.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% ( -0.04) | 61.68% ( 0.04) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( -0.08) | 30% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.88% ( -0.09) | 66.12% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.68% |
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