SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 7.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
77.9% ( 0.01) | 14.5% ( -0.01) | 7.61% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.72% ( 0.02) | 38.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.44% ( 0.02) | 60.57% ( -0.02) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92% ( 0.01) | 8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.79% ( 0.02) | 28.21% ( -0.02) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.35% ( 0) | 51.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.22% ( 0) | 85.78% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-0 @ 13.18% 3-0 @ 11.09% 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.01% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.63% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 77.88% | 1-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.88% Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.5% | 0-1 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.28% 0-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.7% Total : 7.61% |
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