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EFL Trophy | Semi-Finals
Feb 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Wham Stadium
BL

Accrington
0 - 2
Bolton


Presley (21'), Coyle (41')
McConville (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')
Trafford (52'), Morley (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

With a place at Wembley on the line, both sides will be very keen, but Bolton just have that extra bit of quality, which was demonstrated in the clash at the same ground earlier this season. Accrington will give it their all, but the two teams are at opposite ends of the League One table for a reason, and the visitors should ultimately be comfortable winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
19.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.25% (0.00099999999999767 0) 58.55% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.030999999999999 0.03)45.66% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)67.98% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)37.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51% (0.041 0.04)74.49% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)15.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)43.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 19.2%
    Bolton Wanderers 58.55%
    Draw 22.25%
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 19.2%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 58.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Accrington
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Lincoln
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-5 Bolton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One


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