SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
19.2% ( 0.02) | 22.25% ( 0) | 58.55% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( 0.03) | 45.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( 0.03) | 67.98% ( -0.03) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.28% ( 0.04) | 37.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.51% ( 0.04) | 74.49% ( -0.04) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( 0.01) | 15.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.04% ( 0.01) | 43.97% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 19.2% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.17% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.99% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.92% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 58.55% |
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