Derby County have not been convincing on the road so far this season but after scoring four on the weekend Warne's men will be confident in dealing with a struggling Morecambe at the Mazuma Stadium.
Morecambe have a poor goalscoring record at home this year and it is hard to see a way that Adams's side get back into the clash if the Rams were to score first on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.05) 
