SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Derby County |
19.43% ( 0.03) | 23.6% ( 0.02) | 56.97% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.09% ( -0.05) | 50.91% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.21% ( -0.05) | 72.79% ( 0.05) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.49% ( 0) | 40.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.89% ( 0) | 77.11% ( 0) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -0.04) | 17.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.71% ( -0.07) | 48.29% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.13% Total : 19.43% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
