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EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
M

MK Dons
2 - 0
Morecambe

O'Hora (18'), Dennis (51')
Eisa (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Watts (35'), Gibson (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 6-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe

Buoyed by their thumping FA Cup success and enjoying the golden touch in defence in recent weeks, the stage is set for MK Dons to reach the fourth round of the EFL Cup. The Dons have already taught Morecambe one footballing lesson this term, and the Shrimps' poor away form should rear its ugly head in a miserable day for the travelling fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for MK Dons in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for MK Dons.

Result
MK DonsDrawMorecambe
59.9% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04) 21.97% (0.0019999999999989 0) 18.13% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.76% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (0.056999999999995 0.06)46.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (0.054000000000002 0.05)68.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)14.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.62% (0.010000000000005 0.01)43.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (0.082000000000001 0.08)39.13% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (0.074000000000002 0.07)75.85% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 59.9%
    Morecambe 18.13%
    Draw 21.96%
MK DonsDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 59.9%
1-1 @ 10.43%
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.96%
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 6-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Wycombe
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 0-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 1-4 Plymouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Barnsley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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