SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth |
55.19% ( -0.14) | 22.81% ( 0.03) | 21.99% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( 0.01) | 44.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( 0.01) | 66.8% ( -0.01) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% ( -0.05) | 15.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.73% ( -0.09) | 45.27% ( 0.08) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% ( 0.11) | 34.2% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.1% ( 0.12) | 70.9% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.19% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.99% |
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