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FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
MD

Portsmouth
3 - 2
MK Dons

Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38'), Lawrence (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Newport
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 MK Dons

Although Portsmouth are unbeaten at home this season, their last five home games have finished all square after 90 minutes, and we think that they will play out another draw on Saturday, which would send the second-round tie to a replay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
54.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 24.39% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 21.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 49.72% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.32% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)50.52%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.62% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)75.37% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 54.06%
    MK Dons 21.55%
    Draw 24.38%
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54.06%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.97%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ipswich 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Derby
Friday, November 18 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Hereford 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, November 4 at 7.55pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 AFC Wimbledon (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Newport
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Derby
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: MK Dons 6-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One


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