Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
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