Both teams recorded victories at the weekend, but with the teams separated by two points, we think that a closely-fought contest will finish all square.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.24) 
-0.1) 
