SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Burton Albion |
61.97% ( 1.43) | 20.96% ( -0.39) | 17.07% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( -0.03) | 43.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( -0.03) | 65.79% ( 0.03) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( 0.42) | 13.46% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0.84) | 40.45% ( -0.84) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.2% ( -1.23) | 38.8% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.46% ( -1.19) | 75.54% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.05% Total : 61.96% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.96% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.07% |
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