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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium mk
BA

MK Dons
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Johnson (84')
Harvie (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeboyejo (29' pen.)
Onyango (64'), Garratt (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Burton Albion

Given their respective form, neither team will feel particularly confident about collecting maximum points at the weekend. Nevertheless, despite Burton heading into this fixture on the back of two draws, MK Dons remain the favourites and could edge the game by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBurton Albion
61.97% (1.43 1.43) 20.96% (-0.388 -0.39) 17.07% (-1.045 -1.05)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.806 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)43.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)65.79% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (0.42 0.42)13.46% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (0.839 0.84)40.45% (-0.84 -0.84)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (-1.234 -1.23)38.8% (1.233 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (-1.186 -1.19)75.54% (1.186 1.19)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 61.96%
    Burton Albion 17.07%
    Draw 20.96%
MK DonsDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.107 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 61.96%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.96%
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.69% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 17.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-2 MK Dons
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Newport
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Derby
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: MK Dons 6-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 6-1 Chippenham
Sunday, November 27 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Tranmere (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-3 Charlton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Needham Market
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One


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