Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
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