SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Leicester City |
35.55% ( 0.02) | 23.76% ( 0.01) | 40.69% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.17% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.13% ( -0.05) | 39.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.77% ( -0.06) | 62.23% ( 0.06) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( -0.02) | 22.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( -0.02) | 55.91% ( 0.03) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( -0.03) | 19.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48% ( -0.06) | 52% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 40.69% |
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