Barnsley have enjoyed a far stronger start to the season than their visitors, and with renewed confidence on the back of two straight league victories, they should take all three points at Oakwell.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
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