We expect a tight game at the Kassam as Oxford are not clinical enough in front of goal to win the game, but Peterborough are not good enough away from home to get the victory either.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
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