Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
