SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
62.84% ( -0.97) | 21.06% ( 0.64) | 16.1% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( -1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.46% ( -2.16) | 45.54% ( 2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.13% ( -2.09) | 67.87% ( 2.09) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( -0.96) | 13.88% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.72% ( -1.94) | 41.28% ( 1.94) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( -0.88) | 41.3% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.18% ( -0.78) | 77.82% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.63) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.75% Total : 62.83% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.05% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.1% |
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