Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.
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