Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
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