Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.