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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
AW

Portsmouth
2 - 5
AFC Wimbledon

Yengi (43'), Whyte (58')
Rafferty (47'), Hume (50'), Towler (76')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Sasu (11'), Davison (22'), Pearce (28'), Pell (48'), Al-Hamadi (89')
Johnson (18'), Pearce (50'), Tilley (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

Having won their last four games without conceding, Pompey will head into Tuesday's contest in a positive mood, and we think that the League One leaders will continue that fine run of form by getting the better of their fourth-tier opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawAFC Wimbledon
50.66%24.11%25.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (0.004999999999999 0)69.06% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)18.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.71% (0.0020000000000024 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 50.65%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.23%
    Draw 24.1%
PortsmouthDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.65%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Bolton
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-4 Blackpool
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Charlton
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Salford City 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 5-0 Ramsgate
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-2 Notts County
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 18 at 12.30pm in EFL Trophy


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