SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
57.38% ( -0.56) | 21.84% ( 0.24) | 20.78% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( -0.67) | 41.58% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( -0.68) | 63.98% ( 0.69) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( -0.39) | 14.27% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.94% ( -0.77) | 42.06% ( 0.78) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( -0.08) | 33.74% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.6% ( -0.09) | 70.4% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.05% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 20.78% |
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