Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 10.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
