Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
