Both sides find themselves in poor runs recently, but Lincoln's performance against an in-form Sheffield Wednesday side tips the balance in their favour in our view. We expect Appleton's side, who boast more quality than their standing suggests, to triumph against the team with the division's longest winless run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Lincoln City
37.47%	26.76%	35.76%

Both teams to score 51.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59%

53.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.05%

74.95%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39%

27.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86%

63.15%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.37%

28.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57%

64.43%

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 37.47%

Lincoln City 35.76%

Draw 26.76%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.47%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.76%