Derby County certainly have more to fight for than their hosts on the final day, but in a tough trip to Hillsborough, we do not anticipate them taking all three points and instead predict a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.
0.42) 
-0.17) 
