This is a huge match for both sides, and it is set to be a fascinating battle on Friday afternoon. Derby desperately need a win to put to an end their recent poor run, and we are tipping the Rams to navigate their way to a huge three points in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
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