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FG
Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
The New Lawn
CT
Cheltenham Town

Forest Green
1 - 0
Cheltenham

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (16'), Sercombe (45+1'), Freestone (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

In a match with permutations in the lower half of the table, we expect both sides to compete vigorously to gain another three points in League One. Nevertheless, there will be no separating the sides on the day, culminating in a point apiece for both Forest Green and Cheltenham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
51.39% (0.012 0.01) 24.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.99% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.02% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)35.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)72.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 51.38%
    Cheltenham Town 23.99%
    Draw 24.62%
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Alvechurch
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Cheltenham (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Wycombe
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: South Shields 0-2 Forest Green
Saturday, November 5 at 12pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Cheltenham
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Cheltenham (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Alvechurch
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One


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