SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.99%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
15.02% ( 0.42) | 21.21% ( -0.03) | 63.76% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( 1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( 0.88) | 48.21% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% ( 0.81) | 70.36% ( -0.8) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.63% ( 1.13) | 44.36% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.58% ( 0.9) | 80.42% ( -0.9) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( 0.17) | 14.45% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.6% ( 0.32) | 42.4% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.42% Total : 15.02% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.2% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 11.99% ( -0.3)1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 7.74% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 3.74% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.11)0-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 63.76% |
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