This is a really difficult match to call, but it is one that Wycombe desperately need to win in order to remain in playoff contention. The hosts might have to suffer in order to secure a positive result, but we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.05) 
