Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
0.01) 
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