SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
72.86% ( 0.99) | 17.37% ( -0.67) | 9.77% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 43.92% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% ( 2.02) | 44.37% ( -2.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( 1.94) | 66.74% ( -1.93) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.27% ( 0.82) | 10.72% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.33% ( 1.8) | 34.67% ( -1.8) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.2% ( 0.67) | 50.8% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.79% ( 0.45) | 85.21% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.66)3-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.25)5-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.11)6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.73% Total : 72.84% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.58% Total : 17.37% | 0-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.04% Total : 9.77% |
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