Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
0.36) 
-0.1) 
