Gillingham will be riding high after back-to-back victories against Stockport and Southampton, and combined with Accrington's poor away form last term, we are siding with a home win here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.06) 
