Based on last season's standings, the two teams should be evenly-matched as only four points separated them in the table.
However, Sutton only managed to win four games away from home last season, and combined with Barrow's impressive home form last term, we are inclined to side with a narrow home victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
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