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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
35.06% ( -0.17) | 24.28% ( -0.07) | 40.66% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.15% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.53% ( 0.28) | 42.46% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( 0.28) | 64.86% ( -0.29) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( 0.03) | 23.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.95% ( 0.05) | 58.04% ( -0.06) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 0.23) | 21% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.22% ( 0.36) | 53.77% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.66% |
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